Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000426 0.000474 0.000528 0.000591 0.000665 0.000749 0.000853
2024-12-22 0.000347 0.000411 0.000488 0.000588 0.000719 0.000885 0.001119
2024-12-29 0.000302 0.000374 0.000465 0.000594 0.000776 0.001031 0.001431
2025-01-05 0.000272 0.000349 0.000451 0.000604 0.000835 0.001186 0.001801
2025-01-12 0.000244 0.000320 0.000427 0.000593 0.000858 0.001291 0.002122
2025-01-19 0.000229 0.000309 0.000424 0.000611 0.000928 0.001485 0.002667
2025-01-26 0.000206 0.000283 0.000396 0.000586 0.000920 0.001540 0.002962
2025-02-02 0.000194 0.000271 0.000387 0.000590 0.000963 0.001699 0.003552
2025-02-09 0.000186 0.000264 0.000386 0.000606 0.001030 0.001926 0.004427
2025-02-16 0.000178 0.000257 0.000384 0.000619 0.001093 0.002160 0.005476
2025-02-23 0.000173 0.000254 0.000387 0.000641 0.001180 0.002481 0.007048
2025-03-02 0.000165 0.000246 0.000381 0.000647 0.001232 0.002730 0.008607
2025-03-09 0.000154 0.000232 0.000364 0.000630 0.001236 0.002868 0.009938
2025-03-16 0.000147 0.000223 0.000356 0.000631 0.001283 0.003158 0.012429
2025-03-23 0.000141 0.000217 0.000352 0.000639 0.001349 0.003542 0.016184
2025-03-30 0.000136 0.000212 0.000349 0.000650 0.001426 0.004008 0.021717
2025-04-06 0.000128 0.000202 0.000337 0.000638 0.001438 0.004247 0.026277
2025-04-13 0.000125 0.000200 0.000339 0.000658 0.001547 0.004942 0.038504
2025-04-20 0.000118 0.000188 0.000321 0.000630 0.001508 0.004979 0.043034
2025-04-27 0.000114 0.000184 0.000317 0.000635 0.001569 0.005533 0.059643
2025-05-04 0.000111 0.000182 0.000319 0.000652 0.001680 0.006435 0.094948
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000179 0.000318 0.000666 0.001783 0.007409 0.155984
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000178 0.000322 0.000691 0.001934 0.008883 0.314556